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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Wilson vs Subaru Mori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Wilson
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Chris Wilson

“The Professor”

18-10-0LightweightSB

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record6-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CW Combat SportsTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1645 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris WilsonNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Subaru MoriNow 1633
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
1.31
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.57
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chris WilsonSubaru Mori
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
8 (44%)
Submission
3 (50%)
3 (17%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Subaru Mori52%
Chris Wilson 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Subaru Mori a 52% favorite over Chris Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Wilson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Subaru Mori enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Chris Wilson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Subaru Mori 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.