Chris Wilson vs Subaru Mori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record6-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CW Combat SportsTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1684 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+24→ 1657
If they lose-24→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris WilsonSubaru Mori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Subaru Mori70%
Chris Wilson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Subaru Mori a 70% favorite over Chris Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Wilson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Subaru Mori enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Chris Wilson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Subaru Mori 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.