Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Aguilera vs Sean Brady

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72,0"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Total MMA StudiosTeamRenzo Gracie Philly

What's at stake

Sean Brady is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Christian Aguilera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian AguileraNow 1593
If they win+25→ 1618
If they lose-7→ 1586
Sean BradyNow 1807
If they win+7→ 1814
If they lose-25→ 1782

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
38%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
49%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
3.53
0%
Takedown accuracy
53%
60%
Takedown defense
87%
0
Submission avg.
0.91

Trajectory

Christian AguileraSean Brady
16001700180020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (79%)
KO/TKO
3 (16%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (32%)
3 (21%)
Decision
10 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Brady92%
Christian Aguilera 8%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Brady a 92% favorite over Christian Aguilera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Sean Brady holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1807 to 1593, a 214-point edge.

Christian Aguilera enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christian Aguilera finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.