Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Colombo vs Luis Henrique

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-1Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
48,5"Reach42.50
258 lbsWeight253 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamTata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Christian Colombo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Luis Henrique carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian ColomboNow 1564
If they win+12→ 1576
If they lose-20→ 1544
Luis HenriqueNow 1483
If they win+29→ 1512
If they lose-19→ 1464

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
45%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
42%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
3.09
0%
Takedown accuracy
37%
33%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Christian ColomboLuis Henrique
14501500155016001650201620172018

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (50%)
2 (25%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Henrique54%
Christian Colombo 46%Elo baseline: 39%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique a 54% favorite over Christian Colombo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christian Colombo's way (39%).

Christian Colombo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1564 to 1483, a 81-point edge.

Christian Colombo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Christian Colombo finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Luis Henrique 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.