Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Colombo vs Marcelo Golm

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-1Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
48,5"Reach42,5"
258 lbsWeight266 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamCorinthians MMA

What's at stake

Christian Colombo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcelo Golm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian ColomboNow 1564
If they win+15→ 1579
If they lose-17→ 1547
Marcelo GolmNow 1548
If they win+17→ 1565
If they lose-15→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
4.27
45%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.30
42%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
0.45
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
33%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Christian ColomboMarcelo Golm
155016001650201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (30%)
2 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Christian Colombo and Marcelo Golm within a point of even.

Christian Colombo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1564 to 1548, a 16-point edge.

Christian Colombo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marcelo Golm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Christian Colombo finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Golm 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.