Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Colombo vs Raphael Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-1Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
48,5"Reach78″
258 lbsWeight247 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamTop Brother MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian ColomboNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Raphael PessoaNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
45%
Strike accuracy
27%
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
42%
Strike defense
42%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian ColomboRaphael Pessoa
1550160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (25%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Christian Colombo and Raphael Pessoa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1566), separated by just 2 points.

Christian Colombo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Christian Colombo finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.