Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Echols vs Martin Kozák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record6-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'4"
-Reach-
190 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Martin Kozák is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Christian Echols carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian EcholsNow 1584
If they win+19→ 1603
If they lose-13→ 1571
Martin KozákNow 1640
If they win+20→ 1660
If they lose-28→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Christian EcholsMartin Kozák
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
6 (75%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Kozák63%
Christian Echols 37%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Kozák a 63% favorite over Christian Echols in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Martin Kozák holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1584, a 56-point edge.

Martin Kozák enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Christian Echols finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Martin Kozák 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.