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Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Eckerlin vs Thiago Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team MMA Spirit· 1652 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian EckerlinNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Thiago AlvesNow 1573
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
Not available
Strike defense
63%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.71
Not available
Takedown accuracy
61%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Christian EckerlinThiago Alves
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
13 (57%)
8 (44%)
Submission
1 (4%)
4 (22%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Alves57%
Christian Eckerlin 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Alves a 57% favorite over Christian Eckerlin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1573), separated by just 1 points.

Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christian Eckerlin finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.