Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Edwards vs Chuck Grigsby

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chuck Grigsby
us

Chuck Grigsby

“The Reverend”

23-10-0Light HeavyweightMCC

1568Solid

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record23-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'6"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian EdwardsNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Chuck GrigsbyNow 1568
If they win+12→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
17%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian EdwardsChuck Grigsby
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
13 (59%)
1 (13%)
Submission
6 (27%)
2 (25%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Edwards63%
Chuck Grigsby 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Edwards a 63% favorite over Chuck Grigsby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chuck Grigsby's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1568), separated by just 1 points.

Christian Edwards finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Chuck Grigsby 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.