Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Edwards vs Ivan Serati

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record12-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight225 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSure Grip Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian EdwardsNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Ivan SeratiNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
15.25
TBD
Strike defense
30%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian EdwardsIvan Serati
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
1 (13%)
Submission
3 (25%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Christian Edwards and Ivan Serati within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1570), separated by just 3 points.

Christian Edwards finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Serati 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.