Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Edwards vs Junior Tafa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Junior Tafa
nz

Junior Tafa

“The Juggernaut”

7-6-0HeavyweightUFC

1564Solid

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record7-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNTG Fight & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian EdwardsNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Junior TafaNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.53
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian EdwardsJunior Tafa
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
7 (100%)
1 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Christian Edwards and Junior Tafa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1564), separated by just 3 points.

Christian Edwards finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Junior Tafa 100%.

Christian Edwards carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.