Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Edwards vs Keith Jardine

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Keith Jardine
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Keith Jardine

“The Dean of Mean”

17-11-2MiddleweightSF

1570Solid

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record17-11-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'2"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian EdwardsNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Keith JardineNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.25
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian EdwardsKeith Jardine
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
1 (13%)
Submission
2 (12%)
2 (25%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Edwards63%
Keith Jardine 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Edwards a 63% favorite over Keith Jardine in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keith Jardine's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1570), separated by just 3 points.

Keith Jardine enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christian Edwards finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Keith Jardine 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.