Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Edwards vs Mahamed Aly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record5-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamOne Way Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian EdwardsNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Mahamed AlyNow 1568
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Christian EdwardsMahamed Aly
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
1 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Edwards52%
Mahamed Aly 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Edwards a 52% favorite over Mahamed Aly in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mahamed Aly's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1568), separated by just 1 points.

Christian Edwards finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mahamed Aly 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.