Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Herrera vs Scott Calvert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record2-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Gilbert Grappling· 1559 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamWithout Limits MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Christian Herrera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Scott Calvert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian HerreraNow 1555
If they win+19→ 1574
If they lose-29→ 1526
Scott CalvertNow 1474
If they win+29→ 1503
If they lose-19→ 1455

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Christian HerreraScott Calvert
150015502026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Herrera79%
Scott Calvert 21%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Herrera a 79% favorite over Scott Calvert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Christian Herrera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1474, a 81-point edge.

Christian Herrera enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Scott Calvert enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.