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Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Jungwirth vs Takashi Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dima's Gym NoerdlingenTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian JungwirthNow 1581
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569
Takashi SatoNow 1580
If they win+12→ 1592
If they lose-12→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
Not available
Strike defense
44%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.76
Not available
Takedown accuracy
38%
Not available
Takedown defense
61%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian JungwirthTakashi Sato
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
9 (56%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Takashi Sato53%
Christian Jungwirth 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Takashi Sato a 53% favorite over Christian Jungwirth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christian Jungwirth's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1580), separated by just 1 points.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Christian Jungwirth finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.