Christian Lee vs Jake Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Evolve MMATeamNexus
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
If they win+12→ 1763
If they lose-12→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian LeeJake Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Matthews57%
Christian Lee 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 57% favorite over Christian Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christian Lee's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1752 vs 1751), separated by just 1 points.
Christian Lee enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Christian Lee finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.