
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Claudio Ribeiro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Claudio Ribeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 86% favorite over Claudio Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1622, a 125-point edge.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Claudio Ribeiro enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Claudio Ribeiro 100%.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.