Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Leroy Duncan vs Claudio Ribeiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
79"Reach77,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamRevira Black Team

What's at stake

Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Claudio Ribeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian Leroy DuncanNow 1747
If they win+10→ 1757
If they lose-22→ 1725
Claudio RibeiroNow 1622
If they win+22→ 1644
If they lose-10→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.59
58%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.90
53%
Strike defense
31%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0.56
17%
Takedown accuracy
50%
63%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian Leroy DuncanClaudio Ribeiro
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
11 (100%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (21%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Leroy Duncan86%
Claudio Ribeiro 14%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 86% favorite over Claudio Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1622, a 125-point edge.

Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Claudio Ribeiro enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Claudio Ribeiro 100%.

Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.