Christian Leroy Duncan vs Costello van Steenis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record18-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamMMA Vlaardingen· 1652 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanCostello van Steenis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan54%
Costello van Steenis 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 54% favorite over Costello van Steenis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1752 vs 1752), separated by just 0 points.
Costello van Steenis enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Costello van Steenis 82%.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.