Christian Leroy Duncan vs Douglas Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record33-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731
If they win+12→ 1759
If they lose-12→ 1735
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanDouglas Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan81%
Douglas Lima 19%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 81% favorite over Douglas Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1747), separated by just 0 points.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Lima 79%.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.