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Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Leroy Duncan vs Joe Pyfer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Pyfer
us

Joe Pyfer

“Bodybagz”

16-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1763Great

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record16-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian Leroy DuncanNow 1768
If they win+16→ 1784
If they lose-16→ 1752
Joe PyferNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
58%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.43
Takedown avg.
1.45
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
58%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.91

Trajectory

Christian Leroy DuncanJoe Pyfer
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (25%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Leroy Duncan54%
Joe Pyfer 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 54% favorite over Joe Pyfer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1768 vs 1763), separated by just 5 points.

Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Joe Pyfer 88%.

Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.