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Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Leroy Duncan vs Karlos Vemola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Karlos Vemola
cz

Karlos Vemola

“The Terminator”

37-8-0Light HeavyweightOKMMA

1756Great

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record37-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian Leroy DuncanNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736
Karlos VemolaNow 1756
If they win+12→ 1768
If they lose-12→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.45
Sig. strikes / min
1.67
58%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
54%
Strike defense
38%
0.43
Takedown avg.
1.93
0%
Takedown accuracy
26%
58%
Takedown defense
31%
0
Submission avg.
1.66

Trajectory

Christian Leroy DuncanKarlos Vemola
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
1 (7%)
Submission
20 (54%)
4 (27%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Leroy Duncan68%
Karlos Vemola 32%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 68% favorite over Karlos Vemola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karlos Vemola's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1752 vs 1756), separated by just 4 points.

Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vemola 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.