Christian Mach vs João Paulo Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
165 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet Eater· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamChina Team· 1578 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian MachJoão Paulo Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
João Paulo Silva52%
Christian Mach 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes João Paulo Silva a 52% favorite over Christian Mach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.
João Paulo Silva enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Christian Mach finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, João Paulo Silva 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.