Christian Natividad vs Colton Loud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'8"
67"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamSkywalker 101 Boxing Academy
What's at stake
Christian Natividad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Colton Loud carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1713
If they lose-21→ 1681
If they win+31→ 1628
If they lose-17→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian NatividadColton Loud
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Natividad65%
Colton Loud 35%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Natividad a 65% favorite over Colton Loud in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Christian Natividad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1597, a 105-point edge.
Christian Natividad enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Christian Natividad finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Colton Loud 100%.
Christian Natividad and Colton Loud share 1 common opponent: Devon Jackson.
Colton Loud carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinTKO (Punches) · 2023