Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Rodriguez vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71″Reach69"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
RoufusportTeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

Christian Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Joshua Weems carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian RodriguezNow 1696
If they win+12→ 1708
If they lose-20→ 1676
Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+20→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
50%
Strike accuracy
65%
2.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
57%
Strike defense
61%
1.75
Takedown avg.
4.77
41%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
100%
1.05
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian RodriguezJoshua Weems
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
5 (38%)
Submission
9 (53%)
5 (38%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Rodriguez72%
Joshua Weems 28%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Rodriguez a 72% favorite over Joshua Weems in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Christian Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1601, a 95-point edge.

Christian Rodriguez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Christian Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.