Christian Rodriguez vs Julian Erosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record31-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'1"
71″Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
RoufusportTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian RodriguezJulian Erosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Rodriguez60%
Julian Erosa 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Rodriguez a 60% favorite over Julian Erosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1695), separated by just 1 points.
Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Christian Rodriguez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Julian Erosa 84%.
Christian Rodriguez and Julian Erosa share 1 common opponent: Melquizael Costa.
Julian Erosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.