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Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Rodriguez vs Julian Erosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record31-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'1"
71″Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian RodriguezNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Julian ErosaNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
6.18
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.31
57%
Strike defense
49%
1.75
Takedown avg.
1.73
41%
Takedown accuracy
8%
67%
Takedown defense
62%
1.05
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Christian RodriguezJulian Erosa
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
5 (38%)
Submission
14 (45%)
5 (38%)
Decision
5 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Rodriguez60%
Julian Erosa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Rodriguez a 60% favorite over Julian Erosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1695), separated by just 2 points.

Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christian Rodriguez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Julian Erosa 84%.

Christian Rodriguez and Julian Erosa share 1 common opponent: Melquizael Costa.

Julian Erosa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Melquizael Costa
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025