Christian Rodriguez vs Melquizael Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record26-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
71″Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
RoufusportTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1711
If they lose-17→ 1679
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian RodriguezMelquizael Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Rodriguez54%
Melquizael Costa 46%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Rodriguez a 54% favorite over Melquizael Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1682), separated by just 14 points.
Christian Rodriguez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.
Christian Rodriguez and Melquizael Costa share 2 common opponents: Andre Fili and Julian Erosa.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.