Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Rodriguez vs Wagnney Fabiano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record16-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71″ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian RodriguezNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Wagnney FabianoNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
1.19
50%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.66
57%
Strike defense
70%
1.75
Takedown avg.
3.44
41%
Takedown accuracy
64%
67%
Takedown defense
100%
1.05
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Christian RodriguezWagnney Fabiano
170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
5 (38%)
Submission
9 (56%)
5 (38%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Rodriguez66%
Wagnney Fabiano 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Rodriguez a 66% favorite over Wagnney Fabiano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wagnney Fabiano's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1699), separated by just 3 points.

Christian Rodriguez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Wagnney Fabiano 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.