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Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Wellisch vs Ednaldo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record22-13-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
TBDReachTBD
234 lbsWeight206 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamChampion Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian WellischNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522
Ednaldo OliveiraNow 1531
If they win+12→ 1543
If they lose-12→ 1519

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
1.03
28%
Strike accuracy
22%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.80
56%
Strike defense
53%
1.22
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
0%
45%
Takedown defense
43%
1.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian WellischEdnaldo Oliveira
15001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
11 (50%)
3 (38%)
Submission
2 (9%)
1 (13%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Ednaldo Oliveira59%
Christian Wellisch 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ednaldo Oliveira a 59% favorite over Christian Wellisch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christian Wellisch's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1531), separated by just 7 points.

Ednaldo Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christian Wellisch finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ednaldo Oliveira 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.