Christian Wellisch vs Jake O'Brien
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
234 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamIntegrated Fighting Academy
What's at stake
Jake O'Brien is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Christian Wellisch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1561
If they lose-9→ 1529
If they win+9→ 1701
If they lose-23→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian WellischJake O'Brien
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake O'Brien83%
Christian Wellisch 17%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake O'Brien a 83% favorite over Christian Wellisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Jake O'Brien holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1538, a 154-point edge.
Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Christian Wellisch finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jake O'Brien 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.