Christian Wellisch vs Ryan Firinaiu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record2-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
234 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMA Gold Fight Team
What's at stake
Ryan Firinaiu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Christian Wellisch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1555
If they lose-15→ 1523
If they win+23→ 1580
If they lose-25→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian WellischRyan Firinaiu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Firinaiu79%
Christian Wellisch 21%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Firinaiu a 79% favorite over Christian Wellisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ryan Firinaiu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1557 to 1538, a 19-point edge.
Ryan Firinaiu enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Christian Wellisch finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.