Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Wellisch vs Scott Junk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Scott Junk
us

Scott Junk

“Punk Haole”

8-3-1HeavyweightHEAT

1551Solid

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record8-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
234 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMA Development

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian WellischNow 1538
If they win+17→ 1555
If they lose-15→ 1523
Scott JunkNow 1551
If they win+23→ 1574
If they lose-25→ 1526

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
28%
Strike accuracy
61%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.81
56%
Strike defense
45%
1.22
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
45%
Takedown defense
0%
1.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christian WellischScott Junk
150015501600200720082009

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (38%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Junk70%
Christian Wellisch 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Junk a 70% favorite over Christian Wellisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1551), separated by just 13 points.

Christian Wellisch finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Scott Junk 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.