Christopher Bajo vs Phil Cardella
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record8-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
Malmö Muay ThaiTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christopher BajoPhil Cardella
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Cardella51%
Christopher Bajo 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Cardella a 51% favorite over Christopher Bajo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christopher Bajo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1548), separated by just 1 points.
Phil Cardella enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Christopher Bajo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Phil Cardella 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.