Combat Edge Intelligence

Christopher Collins vs David Avellan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeam

What's at stake

Christopher Collins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — David Avellan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christopher CollinsNow 1524
If they win+23→ 1547
If they lose-25→ 1499
David AvellanNow 1509
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1475 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christopher CollinsDavid Avellan
1500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
1 (50%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Christopher Collins73%
David Avellan 27%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Collins a 73% favorite over David Avellan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Christopher Collins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1509, a 15-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.