Combat Edge Intelligence

Christopher Collins vs Joey Beltran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joey Beltran
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Joey Beltran

“The Mexicutioner”

18-15-0Light HeavyweightS70

1525Average

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record18-15-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBlackline

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christopher CollinsNow 1524
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500
Joey BeltranNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.41
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.59
TBD
Takedown accuracy
19%
TBD
Takedown defense
76%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christopher CollinsJoey Beltran
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (11%)
1 (50%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Christopher Collins71%
Joey Beltran 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Collins a 71% favorite over Joey Beltran in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joey Beltran's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1525), separated by just 1 points.

Joey Beltran 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.