Combat Edge Intelligence

Christopher Collins vs Kristian Rothaermel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record4-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christopher CollinsNow 1524
If they win+23→ 1547
If they lose-25→ 1499
Kristian RothaermelNow 1511
If they win+25→ 1536
If they lose-23→ 1488

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.75
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.49
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Christopher CollinsKristian Rothaermel
1500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (50%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Christopher Collins73%
Kristian Rothaermel 27%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Collins a 73% favorite over Kristian Rothaermel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1511), separated by just 13 points.

Kristian Rothaermel 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.