Combat Edge Intelligence

Christopher Ewert vs Rodrigo Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record6-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christopher EwertNow 1595
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571
Rodrigo GracieNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Christopher EwertRodrigo Gracie
1550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Christopher Ewert66%
Rodrigo Gracie 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Ewert a 66% favorite over Rodrigo Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1593), separated by just 2 points.

Christopher Ewert finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Gracie 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.