Combat Edge Intelligence

Christos Giagos vs Ignacio Bahamondes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record17-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Black HouseTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Ignacio Bahamondes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Christos Giagos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christos GiagosNow 1611
If they win+15→ 1626
If they lose-9→ 1602
Ignacio BahamondesNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-20→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
5.99
42%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
51%
Strike defense
56%
2.84
Takedown avg.
0
37%
Takedown accuracy
0%
52%
Takedown defense
70%
0.39
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Christos GiagosIgnacio Bahamondes
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
4 (20%)
Submission
2 (12%)
8 (40%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Ignacio Bahamondes79%
Christos Giagos 21%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Ignacio Bahamondes a 79% favorite over Christos Giagos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Ignacio Bahamondes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1611, a 80-point edge.

Christos Giagos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ignacio Bahamondes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christos Giagos finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ignacio Bahamondes 76%.

Ignacio Bahamondes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.