Christos Giagos vs Mizuto Hirota
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-0Record18-11-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71"Reach67,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Black HouseTeamCave
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christos GiagosMizuto Hirota
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christos Giagos61%
Mizuto Hirota 39%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Christos Giagos a 61% favorite over Mizuto Hirota in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mizuto Hirota's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1618), separated by just 7 points.
Christos Giagos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Christos Giagos finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mizuto Hirota 56%.
Christos Giagos carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.