Chuck Grigsby vs Fábio Maldonado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record28-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight227 lbs
TeamTeam Maldonado
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1556
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chuck GrigsbyFábio Maldonado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fábio Maldonado59%
Chuck Grigsby 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Fábio Maldonado a 59% favorite over Chuck Grigsby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chuck Grigsby's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1565), separated by just 3 points.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chuck Grigsby finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Fábio Maldonado 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.