Chuck Grigsby vs Mahamed Aly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record5-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1556
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1488 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chuck GrigsbyMahamed Aly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mahamed Aly70%
Chuck Grigsby 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mahamed Aly a 70% favorite over Chuck Grigsby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chuck Grigsby's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1568), separated by just 0 points.
Chuck Grigsby finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mahamed Aly 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.