Chuck Liddell vs Maurício Rua
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record27-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The PitTeamUniversidade da Luta
What's at stake
Chuck Liddell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Maurício Rua carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1835
If they lose-16→ 1811
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-8→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1731 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chuck LiddellMaurício Rua
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chuck Liddell64%
Maurício Rua 36%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Chuck Liddell a 64% favorite over Maurício Rua in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Chuck Liddell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1691, a 136-point edge.
Chuck Liddell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chuck Liddell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Maurício Rua 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.