Chuck Liddell vs Murilo Bustamante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record15-8-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
The PitTeamBrazilian Top Team
What's at stake
Chuck Liddell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Murilo Bustamante carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1833
If they lose-18→ 1809
If they win+25→ 1644
If they lose-7→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1731 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chuck LiddellMurilo Bustamante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chuck Liddell83%
Murilo Bustamante 17%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Chuck Liddell a 83% favorite over Murilo Bustamante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Chuck Liddell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1619, a 208-point edge.
Chuck Liddell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chuck Liddell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Murilo Bustamante 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.