Chuck O'Neil vs Patrick Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record13-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Mass BJJTeamGround Control Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1466 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chuck O'NeilPatrick Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chuck O'Neil55%
Patrick Rivera 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chuck O'Neil a 55% favorite over Patrick Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Rivera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1604), separated by just 2 points.
Chuck O'Neil finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Rivera 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.