Combat Edge Intelligence

Chuy Rodriguez vs Damon Donald

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record4-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Damon Donald is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Chuy Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chuy RodriguezNow 1500
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
Damon DonaldNow 1519
If they win+23→ 1542
If they lose-25→ 1494

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

TBDPre-fight Elo1510 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Damon Donald60%
Chuy Rodriguez 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Damon Donald a 60% favorite over Chuy Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Damon Donald holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1500, a 19-point edge.

Damon Donald 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.