Chuy Rodriguez vs Jarred Gonzales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Agoge Combatives· 1613 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Chuy Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Jarred Gonzales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1549
If they lose-28→ 1501
If they win+28→ 1499
If they lose-20→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chuy Rodriguez70%
Jarred Gonzales 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Chuy Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Jarred Gonzales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Chuy Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1529 to 1471, a 58-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.