Combat Edge Intelligence

Ciaran Clarke vs Jafel Filho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ciaran ClarkeNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Jafel FilhoNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.24

Trajectory

Ciaran ClarkeJafel Filho
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
5 (50%)
Submission
11 (65%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ciaran Clarke and Jafel Filho within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.

Ciaran Clarke finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jafel Filho 94%.

Jafel Filho carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.