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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ciaran Clarke vs Jafel Filho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ciaran ClarkeNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Jafel FilhoNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.85
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.52
Not available
Takedown accuracy
45%
Not available
Takedown defense
67%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.24

Trajectory

Ciaran ClarkeJafel Filho
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
5 (50%)
Submission
11 (65%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Jafel Filho60%
Ciaran Clarke 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jafel Filho a 60% favorite over Ciaran Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ciaran Clarke's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Ciaran Clarke finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jafel Filho 94%.

Jafel Filho carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.