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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ciryl Gane vs Daniel Cormier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ciryl Gane
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Ciryl Gane

“Bon Gamin”

14-2-0HeavyweightUFC

1831Great

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record22-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height5'11"
81"Reach72"
250 lbsWeight251 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ciryl GaneNow 1831
If they win+16→ 1847
If they lose-16→ 1815
Daniel CormierNow 1836
If they win+16→ 1852
If they lose-16→ 1820

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1773 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
4.25
62%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
61%
Strike defense
55%
0.66
Takedown avg.
1.83
0%
Takedown accuracy
45%
47%
Takedown defense
80%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Ciryl GaneDaniel Cormier
18001850190020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
3 (21%)
Submission
5 (23%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Ciryl Gane73%
Daniel Cormier 27%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 73% favorite over Daniel Cormier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Cormier's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1831 vs 1836), separated by just 5 points.

Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ciryl Gane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Cormier 68%.

Ciryl Gane and Daniel Cormier share 2 common opponents: Jon Jones and Derrick Lewis.

Ciryl Gane carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinTKO · 2021
Derrick Lewis
WinSUB · 2018
LossSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2023
Jon Jones
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2015