Ciryl Gane vs Don'Tale Mayes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record11-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'6"
81"Reach81"
250 lbsWeight264 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamBronx Hill MMA
What's at stake
Ciryl Gane is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Don'Tale Mayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1835
If they lose-26→ 1803
If they win+26→ 1606
If they lose-6→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ciryl GaneDon'Tale Mayes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ciryl Gane92%
Don'Tale Mayes 8%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 92% favorite over Don'Tale Mayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Ciryl Gane holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1829 to 1580, a 249-point edge.
Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ciryl Gane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Don'Tale Mayes 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.