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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ciryl Gane vs Francis Ngannou

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ciryl Gane
fr

Ciryl Gane

“Bon Gamin”

14-2-0HeavyweightUFC

1831Great

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
81"Reach83"
250 lbsWeight257 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ciryl GaneNow 1831
If they win+16→ 1847
If they lose-16→ 1815
Francis NgannouNow 1840
If they win+16→ 1856
If they lose-16→ 1824

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1746 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.33
62%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
61%
Strike defense
42%
0.66
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
63%
47%
Takedown defense
72%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Ciryl GaneFrancis Ngannou
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
14 (74%)
3 (21%)
Submission
4 (21%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Ciryl Gane62%
Francis Ngannou 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 62% favorite over Francis Ngannou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francis Ngannou's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1831 vs 1840), separated by just 9 points.

Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Ciryl Gane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Francis Ngannou 95%.

Ciryl Gane and Francis Ngannou share 3 common opponents: Derrick Lewis, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Junior dos Santos.

Francis Ngannou carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
WinKO · 2020
WinTKO · 2020
Junior dos Santos
WinTKO · 2019
WinTKO · 2021
Derrick Lewis
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2018