Ciryl Gane vs Francis Ngannou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
81"Reach83"
250 lbsWeight257 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1848
If they lose-16→ 1816
If they win+16→ 1855
If they lose-16→ 1823
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1746 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ciryl GaneFrancis Ngannou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ciryl Gane59%
Francis Ngannou 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 59% favorite over Francis Ngannou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francis Ngannou's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1832 vs 1839), separated by just 7 points.
Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Ciryl Gane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Francis Ngannou 95%.
Ciryl Gane and Francis Ngannou share 3 common opponents: Derrick Lewis, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Junior dos Santos.
Francis Ngannou carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.