Ciryl Gane vs Jon Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record28-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
81"Reach84"
250 lbsWeight248 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ciryl Gane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1850
If they lose-13→ 1818
If they win+9→ 1915
If they lose-15→ 1891
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ciryl GaneJon Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ciryl Gane62%
Jon Jones 38%Elo baseline: 39%
The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 62% favorite over Jon Jones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jon Jones's way (39%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1906 to 1831, a 75-point edge.
Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ciryl Gane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.
Jon Jones carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.