Ciryl Gane vs Raphael Pessoa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
81"Reach78″
250 lbsWeight247 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamTop Brother MMA
What's at stake
Ciryl Gane is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Raphael Pessoa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1835
If they lose-26→ 1803
If they win+26→ 1592
If they lose-6→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ciryl GaneRaphael Pessoa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ciryl Gane92%
Raphael Pessoa 8%Elo baseline: 82%
The Combat Edge model makes Ciryl Gane a 92% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).
Ciryl Gane holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1829 to 1566, a 263-point edge.
Ciryl Gane enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ciryl Gane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.
Ciryl Gane carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.